About

I am a Ph.D. candidate in Economics at The George Washington University. My research is in macroeconomics, focusing on fiscal policy, sovereign debt, and economic growth.

Fields: Macroeconomics, International Finance, Public Finance
Expected Ph.D.: May 2027

Job Market Paper

Fiscal Rules When Sovereign Debt Is Risky but Convenient

How Alternative Safe Collateral Shapes the Welfare Effects of Debt Brakes

Abstract

Fiscal rules often use debt ceilings or sovereign spreads to discipline borrowing, but sovereign bonds also provide collateral and liquidity services that lower yields independently of default risk. I develop a two-period model that decomposes the welfare effects of fiscal limits into fiscal-smoothing, default-risk, and liquidity channels, and embed these mechanisms in a long-term sovereign-default model calibrated to Italy. At the benchmark, a rule based on observed market spreads and one based only on sovereign credit risk can be calibrated to generate nearly identical allocations and welfare. This equivalence is not portable across economies with different access to substitute safe collateral: applying the same common thresholds across members produces systematically different effective debt limits because convenience yields vary with collateral scarcity. More generally, fiscal limits reduce default risk but can also restrict fiscal flexibility and alter the supply and value of safe collateral. The results imply that fiscal-rule design should distinguish sovereign credit risk from the convenience value embedded in market borrowing costs.

Working Papers

Financial Liberalization and Investment-Specific Technological Change

Abstract

Does financial liberalization promote growth through investment-specific technological change (ISTC), and why do its benefits differ so sharply across countries? Using UNIDO INDSTAT2 data covering 22 manufacturing industries in 139 countries (1963–2021), I apply a local-projection difference-in-differences design to capital account liberalization episodes and show that liberalization differentially raises value-added growth in high-ISTC industries, but only in countries with strong institutions; in weak-institution countries the effect is absent. I rationalize this finding in a multi-sector overlapping-generations model in which a country-level pledgeability parameter governs entrepreneurs’ ability to borrow against ISTC-intensive capital. Calibrated to the estimated dynamic responses, the pledgeability channel accounts for roughly half of the observed strong–weak differential and generates a hump-shaped relationship between institutional quality and the gains from liberalization: amplification strengthens with pledgeability, then attenuates as constraints stop binding for the most technology-intensive sectors.